Opinion: Thirteen Reasons To Vote No on Prop
14/Top Two
Why Prop 14 would be bad for democracy and government in California
By
Mike Feinstein
Proposition 14 is a political Trojan horse masquerading as electoral reform,
that would reduce political voice and voter choice, while unfairly favoring
incumbency and big money. At a time when California needs transformational
change to address its multiple crises, Prop 14 would lurch the state backwards
and institutionalize a deeply flawed election scheme in our constitution.
There should be no doubt that Prop 14 is a frontal attack on democracy. It
is designed to stifle diversity and competition within the major parties, limit
the choices of independent voters and drive minor parties off the ballot entirely.
1) Prop 14 is an Incumbent Protection Plan
Washington State had its first experience with a Top Two primary in 2008. Of
the 139 incumbents who ran in either state legislative, state constitutional
or congressional races, only one lost in the primary and 5% of 139 races featured
candidates from same party. In the general election, fewer seats ultimately
changed parties (seven) than in 2006 (13) when parties were allowed to conduct
their own primaries.
Why are incumbents advantaged by Top Two primaries?
2) Early Decision-Making under Prop 14 Rewards Incumbents and the Wealthiest
Candidates
By increasing the stakes of the June primary, Prop 14 would put more emphasis
on early fundraising, increasing the corrupting influence of big money and
making it harder for grassroots candidates and movements to survive, let alone
compete. Candidates with large campaign chests (including those that can self-fund)
would be even more able to ‘clear the field’ and squeeze out other
candidates, because of the additional pressure not to ‘split the primary
vote’ within their own party. This would occur during June elections
that traditionally experience much lower voter turnout, and with voters who
are much whiter, wealthier and olderon
average than voters in November.
To the extent
that incumbents don’t have to fear challenge in elections, Prop 14
would undermine one of the major tools of accountability between voters
and representatives.
3) Eliminating party primaries under Prop 14 puts pressure on non-incumbents
and/or non-frontrunners of the same party to drop out, lest they ‘split
the vote’ of their party’s faithful, putting more power into
the hands of party machines and insiders to de facto select general election
candidates
In California’s current party primary system, spirited competition can
occur among multiple candidates of the same party, without the concern that
if too many strong candidates enter the race from the same party, it will split
their party’s vote and endanger their candidates being on the general
election ballot. But that’s exactly a problem that Prop 14 creates.
The pressure not to split the vote is one of the major negatives of Prop
14. The closet California has experienced to Prop 14 in this respect was
the October
2003 Gubernatorial Recall - 132 candidates appeared on the same ballot,
with no party primaries to select the nominee of each party. As a result,
there
was intense pressure on the ‘major’ candidates in each major
party to drop out.
It began on the Republican side, with an agreement between former Los Angeles
Mayor Richard Riordan and then actor Arnold Schwarzenegger that only one
of the two would run. When Schwarzenegger declared his candidacy on August
6th,
Riordan quickly dropped out. On August 23rd, 2002 GOP nominee Bill Simon
announced that he too was dropping out, stating "There are too many Republicans
in this race and the people of our state simply cannot risk a continuation
of the Gray Davis legacy", lest they split their vote and hand the
race to Democrat Cruz Bustamante. Next came Peter Ueberroth, former Major
League
commissioner and Los Angeles Olympic Committee President, who withdrew
on September 9th. The Democrats were not immune to this pressure. On August
9th, former
Lt. Governor John Garamendi withdrew, only two days after he declared,
under heavy pressure not to split the Democratic vote, leaving only Bustamante
in
the field.
Rather than the ‘competitive environment' Prop 14 sponsors promise,
experience in California
and Washington shows just the opposite – fewer serious
candidates chose to run and the choice of who will run is made more by
party insiders than primary voters. This means political debate would be
minimized,
not increased by Prop 14.
Ironically one thing that made the Recall debates interesting was
the presence of independent, alternative voices like Green Party candidate
Peter Camejo
and independent Ariana Huffington. Prop 14 would eliminate candidates
like these from the general election debates.
4) Prop 14 would eliminate all ballot-qualified political parties’ right
to be on the general election ballot
As recently as 2004, California voters approved Proposition 60 with 67.5%,
which guaranteed that the highest primary vote getter from each of California’s
ballot-qualified political parties would be on the general election ballot. Proposition 14 dishonestly hides that it would eliminate this right and take
away the ability of a broad range of voters to vote for candidates in the
general election that represent them.
After Washington State implemented the Top Two in 2008, no minor party
or independent candidate for any statewide or for congressional race appeared
on the general
election ballot for the first time since Washington became a state in 1889.
5) Prop 14 would make it very difficult for minor parties to stay on the ballot
in California
In California there are only two ways that parties stay on the ballot.
One is to receive at least 2% of the general election vote every four
years for
one of the statewide constitutional offices like Governor or Secretary
of State. But under Prop 14, minor parties won’t be on the general election ballot
for statewide office, so they can’t retain party status that way.
The other method is to have a certain threshold number of voter registrations.
But if this were the only method today, both the Libertarians and the
Peace
and Freedom Party would already be off the ballot and the Green Party
would be threatened with the same.
The Green Party has been on the ballot for 18 consecutive years, the
Libertarians 30 and Peace and Freedom for 40 of the last 42. Had the
Prop 14’s authors
intended to honor California’s political diversity, they would’ve
reduced the registration threshold so these kinds of parties could reasonably
stay on the ballot. By leaving the threshold where it is and eliminating
their ability to qualify on the general election ballot, Prop 14’s
sponsors are going for the jugular to entirely eliminate minor parties
in California.
6) Prop 14 forces California’s growing number of independent voters
to vote for only Democrats and Republicans in the general election
Voter registration in the two major parties in California has been going
down proportionally for many years, showing that voters want more, not
fewer choices.
Prop 14 is a disingenuous strategy to circumvent that trend by forcing
all voters to vote for either Democrats or Republicans in the general election.
Prop 14’s advocates claim they are allowing California’s independent ‘decline-to-state’ voters
more say in the primaries. But these voters already have the right to vote
in the major party primaries today. So what would Prop 14 actually change?
Independent voters – and all voters – would lose their right
to vote for other candidates in November.
7) Prop 14 does not promote good government
Prop 14 advocates claim the Top Two will somehow magically lead to better
government. But the Public Policy Institute of California studied previous
implementations
of similar systems and found little change in partisan discord. California
had an experiment with the ‘cousin of Top Two’ when the blanket
primary was in place in 1998 and 2000, before the U.S. Supreme Court
threw it out for being unconstitutional. By November 2000, the full state
legislature
was
elected
via this method (the Assembly is elected every two years, the State Senate
every four) and that 2000-2002 legislature was one of the most contentious
in recent memory and took the state from a major budget surplus to major
budget deficit in just two years, ultimately helping lead to the recall
of Governor
Gray Davis.
Louisiana is the only other state that has had a Top Two primary in place
(since 1975) and is hardly a model of government for California to emulate.
8 & 9) Prop 14 eliminates general election independents and
write-ins
Under Prop 14, all avenues to the November General Election ballot are
shut down by mid-March. Currently if something significant happens in
public policy
during the course of the campaign that merits a new voice in the race,
an independent candidate can qualify after the primary and appear on
the November
ballot.
Prop 14 would eliminate this check-and-balance of democracy, along with
the right of voters to cast a write-in vote in November if they don’t
support any of the candidates on the ballot.
10) Prop 14 does not require candidates to disclose their registered political
party affiliation
In yet another move away from accepted standards of democracy, Prop 14
would do away with basic transparency by not requiring a candidate to
identify in which political party they are a member. Perhaps in a small
New England
town
hall meeting in the 17th century where everyone knew each other, this
would’ve
been acceptable. But in today’s California with more than 36 million
people, party identification is a helpful tool for voters to sort out their
preferences. Prop 14 would take away this right from the voters. And, if under
Prop 14 candidates chose to indicate anything at all, they would not appear
on the ballot like today as ‘Joe Smith, Democrat’ or ‘Jane
Doe, Republican.’ Rather it would be as ‘Joe Smith, my party preference
is the Democratic Party’ – clumsy and potentially confusing
language, that was placed in Prop 14 to try and avoid it being ruled
unconstitutional.
11) Prop 14 is unconstitutional
Like the blanket primary that was ruled unconstitutional in California
in June 2000, there is a good chance the Top Two will be thrown out by
the courts --
wasting the time of the people of California yet again with a poorly conceived
law.
While the Top Two was drafted to circumvent the concerns that invalidated
the blanket primary, its authors were apparently unaware of a range of
other ballot
access laws, including what kind of restrictions can be placed on a party
from reaching the general election ballot. As a result, there will be
a full trial
in US District Court in Washington State in October 2010 to rule on the
constitutionality of Top Two. If successful, it would not only invalidate
Washington State’s
law, but likely Prop 14 as well, if it were to pass.
12) Bad process leads to bad policy
Devising electoral reform for a nation-state like California is best
done transparently and thoughtfully, involving wide swaths of society.
By contrast,
Prop 14 was
born outside of public view as part of a last minute, backroom deal to
get the final vote in the legislature for the 2/3 needed to pass the
2009 state
budget. Now its gone straight to the ballot for an up/down vote, with
a ‘yes’ campaign
mostly based upon superficial sound bites. Is that kind of political
extortion how we want to reform our democracy?
There are many ways in which California could consider electoral reform.
In 2010 there was an effort to qualify a Constitutional Convention initiative
that could’ve placed a range of electoral reforms before the people
in an open, inclusive manner. There is a good chance the movement will
be back
in 2012 more organized to qualify for the ballot.
13) Positive alternatives exist without the problems of Top Two
Imagine a system where voters can rank as many candidates as they want,
not worry that voting for what they most believe in will lead to what
they most
oppose - and be assured that every election will lead to a majority winner.
Such a system would put more power into the hands of the voter compared
to the candidates and parties. Fortunately that system already exists – it’s
called Ranked
Choice Voting and is in place for non-partisan municipal
office in San Francisco, Oakland and many other cities across the country.
Ranked Choice Voting can also be used in partisan races for state legislature
or governor, in both party primaries and general elections. Since major
party primaries in California are already open to decline-to-state voters,
adding
Ranked Choice Voting to that mix would render those primaries far more
inclusive, competitive and democratic than they are today, promoting
healthy competition
and debate. In general elections, using Ranked Choice Voting would extend
more choice to voters to indicate where they stand on the issues, eliminate ‘spoiler’ concerns,
and give more incentive to candidates to be responsive to voters preferences,
all without reducing voter choice as in Prop 14.
Finally, California could consider systems of proportional representation
like in Europe and elsewhere around the world, where there are multi-seat
districts
and different parties win seats in proportion to the support they receive
from voters. In that way, all parts of the political spectrum would have
a place
at the table, making government that much more truly “of the people.”
Mike Feinstein is a former Mayor and City Councilmember in Santa Monica.
For more information: see Stop Top
Two and No on 14